Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000905 0.000939 0.000974 0.001013 0.001053 0.001095 0.001142
2025-09-28 0.000838 0.000888 0.000941 0.001000 0.001065 0.001135 0.001216
2025-10-05 0.000769 0.000828 0.000891 0.000964 0.001046 0.001137 0.001246
2025-10-12 0.000733 0.000800 0.000873 0.000959 0.001060 0.001174 0.001315
2025-10-19 0.000704 0.000777 0.000858 0.000956 0.001073 0.001208 0.001381
2025-10-26 0.000677 0.000753 0.000841 0.000948 0.001078 0.001233 0.001436
2025-11-02 0.000657 0.000739 0.000832 0.000949 0.001094 0.001270 0.001506
2025-11-09 0.000635 0.000718 0.000816 0.000940 0.001095 0.001288 0.001551
2025-11-16 0.000614 0.000700 0.000800 0.000930 0.001095 0.001303 0.001594
2025-11-23 0.000607 0.000697 0.000804 0.000943 0.001124 0.001357 0.001690
2025-11-30 0.000596 0.000688 0.000799 0.000946 0.001139 0.001392 0.001763
2025-12-07 0.000578 0.000671 0.000784 0.000934 0.001134 0.001400 0.001798
2025-12-14 0.000560 0.000653 0.000767 0.000920 0.001126 0.001404 0.001827
2025-12-21 0.000547 0.000641 0.000757 0.000914 0.001129 0.001423 0.001878
2025-12-28 0.000524 0.000616 0.000729 0.000885 0.001098 0.001392 0.001854
2026-01-04 0.000514 0.000606 0.000722 0.000882 0.001103 0.001414 0.001911
2026-01-11 0.000504 0.000598 0.000716 0.000879 0.001109 0.001436 0.001970
2026-01-18 0.000494 0.000588 0.000706 0.000873 0.001109 0.001449 0.002013
2026-01-25 0.000487 0.000582 0.000703 0.000874 0.001119 0.001478 0.002087
2026-02-01 0.000476 0.000571 0.000693 0.000865 0.001116 0.001486 0.002123
2026-02-08 0.000466 0.000561 0.000683 0.000857 0.001111 0.001491 0.002156
2026-02-15 0.000465 0.000561 0.000687 0.000869 0.001137 0.001546 0.002279
2026-02-22 0.000459 0.000557 0.000685 0.000871 0.001149 0.001578 0.002363